Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Beşiktaş to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeşiktaş to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceBeşiktaş or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Amed vs Beşiktaş preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Amed take on Beşiktaş on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Diyarbakir Stadium. Amed are 3rd with 23 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Beşiktaş sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Amed's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Başakşehir 5–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Beşiktaş's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Marseille 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Amed and 2.2 for Beşiktaş. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amed 16%, draw 21%, Beşiktaş 63%.
Safer route: Beşiktaş or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Beşiktaş to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Beşiktaş or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amed 1–2 Beşiktaş. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amed16%fair 6.22 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
Beşiktaş63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
3.30Expected goals
1.07Amed xG
2.23Beşiktaş xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Amed 1.1 – 2.2 Beşiktaş expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beşiktaş to win✗
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Beşiktaş or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Beşiktaş ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Amed – last 6
WDWLWD
13 Sep
vs Başakşehir
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Kasımpaşa
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Trabzonspor
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Kocaelispor
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beşiktaş – last 6
WWWWLL
17 Sep
vs Marseille
4–1
W
11 Sep
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fenerbahçe
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Çorum FK
6–2
W
27 Aug
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Alanyaspor
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amed and Beşiktaş.
Our pick is Beşiktaş or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Amed vs Beşiktaş?
On our numbers Amed have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beşiktaş 63%.
How many goals will there be in Amed vs Beşiktaş?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amed vs Beşiktaş?
Our predicted score is Amed 1–2 Beşiktaş, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Amed vs Beşiktaş?
Amed vs Beşiktaş (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Diyarbakir Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
