Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✓63% · @1.58
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Samsunspor take on Fenerbahçe on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu. Samsunspor are 17th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Fenerbahçe sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Samsunspor's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Rizespor 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fenerbahçe's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Lyon 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Fenerbahçe 3–2 Samsunspor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.2 for Samsunspor and 2.4 for Fenerbahçe. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Samsunspor 15%, draw 22%, Fenerbahçe 63%.
Safer route: Fenerbahçe or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Samsunspor 1–2 Fenerbahçe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samsunspor15%fair 6.74 · @5.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.10
Fenerbahçe63%fair 1.59 · @1.58
3.64Expected goals
1.19Samsunspor xG
2.45Fenerbahçe xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–16%
0–36%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.2 – 2.4 Fenerbahçe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fenerbahçe 63%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–2 Fenerbahçe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
