Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenerbahçe to win ✗65% · @1.43
Double chanceFenerbahçe or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.97
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe preview and prediction
The match
Fenerbahçe travel to Eryaman Stadium in the Süper Lig on Saturday 15 August (19:30 WAT) to face Gençlerbirliği S.K.. Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Fenerbahçe sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Kasımpaşa 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fenerbahçe's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Sturm Graz 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fenerbahçe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Gençlerbirliği S.K. and 2.1 for Fenerbahçe. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 14%, draw 21%, Fenerbahçe 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–2 Fenerbahçe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gençlerbirliği S.K.14%fair 7.03 · @6.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.65
Fenerbahçe65%fair 1.55 · @1.43
2.98Expected goals
0.89Gençlerbirliği S.K. xG
2.09Fenerbahçe xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0.9 – 2.1 Fenerbahçe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win✗
65%
1.55
1.43
Double chance
Fenerbahçe or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fenerbahçe / FT Fenerbahçe✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.97
–
Form
Gençlerbirliği S.K. – last 6
LWLWWL
24 Jul
@ Kasımpaşa
0–3
L
17 May
@ Trabzonspor
3–0
W
13 May
vs Trabzonspor
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Kocaelispor
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Galatasaray
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Göztepe
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fenerbahçe – last 6
WWDWWW
11 Aug
@ Sturm Graz
1–0
W
5 Aug
vs Sturm Graz
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ Lask Linz
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Pogon Szczecin
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Fenerbahçe.
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
On our numbers Gençlerbirliği S.K. have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fenerbahçe 65%.
How many goals will there be in Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
Our predicted score is Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–2 Fenerbahçe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Fenerbahçe (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Eryaman Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
