Süper Lig · Turkey · Gaziantep StadyumuGaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Alanyaspor to win @ 2.66 – our chance 51% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +36%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gaziantep FK 1.1 – 1.6 Alanyaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alanyaspor shade it despite being away from home – 51% to win, against 28% for Gaziantep FK.
Gaziantep FK have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Alanyaspor have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Gaziantep FK come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 for Gaziantep FK, 1.6 for Alanyaspor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Alanyaspor to win at 2.66 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alanyaspor to win ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.66 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alanyaspor / FT Alanyaspor ✗ | 30% | 3.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.95 | – |
Form
Gaziantep FK – last 6
| 3 Aug | @ IMT Novi Beograd | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | @ OFK Beograd | 2–1 | W |
| 1 May | vs Beşiktaş | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | vs Kayserispor | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | @ Rizespor | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Mar | @ Fenerbahçe | 1–4 | L |
Alanyaspor – last 6
| 27 Apr | vs Samsunspor | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | @ Beşiktaş | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | @ Kasımpaşa | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | vs Kocaelispor | 5–0 | W |
| 9 Mar | vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Mar | vs Galatasaray | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gaziantep FK and Alanyaspor.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 11 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Trabzonspor | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Amed | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 11 | +19 | 19 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Başakşehir | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Rizespor | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Erzurumspor FK | 11 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Alanyaspor | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 11 | -27 | 3 |
More Süper Lig predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?
On our numbers Gaziantep FK have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alanyaspor 51%.
How many goals will there be in Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Gaziantep Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.