Süper Lig · Turkey · Basaksehir Fatih Terim StadiumBaşakşehir vs Kocaelispor prediction & analysis
Başakşehir to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.51 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Başakşehir 2.1 – 0.6 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Başakşehir are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 9% for Kocaelispor.
Başakşehir have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Kocaelispor have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Başakşehir come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (2.1 for Başakşehir, 0.6 for Kocaelispor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (14%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Başakşehir have won 0, Kocaelispor have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Başakşehir to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.51 is better than our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Başakşehir to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.51 ▲ |
| Double chance | Başakşehir or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Başakşehir ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Başakşehir / FT Başakşehir ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✓ | 14% | 6.90 | – |
Form
Başakşehir – last 6
| 30 Jul | @ Inter Turku | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | vs Inter Turku | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jul | @ Puskas Academy | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jul | @ Red Bull Salzburg | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Jul | @ Ried | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jul | @ Cracovia Krakow | 1–3 | L |
Kocaelispor – last 6
| 17 May | @ Antalyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Apr | vs Başakşehir | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Mar | @ Alanyaspor | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | vs Konyaspor | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Mar | @ Eyüpspor | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 6 Apr 2026 | Kocaelispor v Başakşehir | 0–0 |
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 11 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 |  Trabzonspor | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Amed | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 11 | +19 | 19 |
| 7 |  Kocaelispor | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 |  Başakşehir | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Çorum FK | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Göztepe | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Rizespor | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Erzurumspor FK | 11 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Alanyaspor | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 |  Konyaspor | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gaziantep FK | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 11 | -27 | 3 |
More Süper Lig predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Başakşehir to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Başakşehir have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kocaelispor 9%.
How many goals will there be in Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.