Başakşehir host Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium. Başakşehir are 8th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Kocaelispor sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Başakşehir's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Inter Turku 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kocaelispor's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Antalyaspor 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Başakşehir arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Kocaelispor 0–0 Başakşehir.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Başakşehir and 0.6 for Kocaelispor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Başakşehir to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.51, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Başakşehir 2–0 Kocaelispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Başakşehir70%fair 1.43 · @1.51
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.90
Kocaelispor9%fair 11.69 · @6.50
2.70Expected goals
2.08Başakşehir xG
0.62Kocaelispor xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Başakşehir 2.1 – 0.6 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Başakşehir to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Başakşehir have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kocaelispor 9%.
How many goals will there be in Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Başakşehir 2–0 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor?
Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
