Value bet: Erzurumspor FK to win @ 2.85 – our chance 46% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✗46% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Amed vs Erzurumspor FK preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Amed take on Erzurumspor FK on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Şilbe Spor Kompleksi. Amed are 3rd with 23 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Erzurumspor FK sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Amed's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Bodrum FK 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Rizespor 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Erzurumspor FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Amed and 1.5 for Erzurumspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amed 34%, draw 21%, Erzurumspor FK 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Erzurumspor FK to win at 2.85 – 46% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Amed 1–1 Erzurumspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amed34%fair 2.98 · @2.28
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Erzurumspor FK46%fair 2.18 · @2.85
2.78Expected goals
1.25Amed xG
1.53Erzurumspor FK xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Amed 1.3 – 1.5 Erzurumspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✗
46%
2.18
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Form
Amed – last 6
DLDDWW
26 Apr
vs Bodrum FK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bandırmaspor
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Ümraniyespor
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Boluspor
6–1
W
22 Mar
@ Hatayspor
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
DDDWWW
17 Jul
vs Rizespor
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amed and Erzurumspor FK.
What is the prediction for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
On our numbers Amed have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Erzurumspor FK 46%.
How many goals will there be in Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
Our predicted score is Amed 1–1 Erzurumspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Amed vs Erzurumspor FK?
Amed vs Erzurumspor FK (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Şilbe Spor Kompleksi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
