Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.45
Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Ecuador sees Independiente del Valle take on Manta FC on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Orense SC 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manta FC's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Tecnico Universitario 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Independiente del Valle 4–0 Manta FC. Across their last 2 meetings Independiente del Valle have won 2, Manta FC 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Independiente del Valle and 0.4 for Manta FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 74%, draw 19%, Manta FC 7%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 1–0 Manta FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle74%fair 1.36 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @6.00
Manta FC7%fair 14.07 · @16.00
2.35Expected goals
1.93Independiente del Valle xG
0.43Manta FC xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–018%
3–011%
0–010%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.9 – 0.4 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
74%
1.36
1.14
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.62 ▲
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manta FC 7%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 1–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC?
Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC (Copa Ecuador) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
LDU de Quito6
Leones del Norte0