Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓68% · @1.61
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno host Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional Clausura on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas. Cerro Porteno are 7th with 28 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Sportivo Luqueno sit 8th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cerro Porteno's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to 2 de Mayo 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Sportivo Trinidense 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cerro Porteno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 April 2026, finished Sportivo Luqueno 2–3 Cerro Porteno.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Cerro Porteno and 0.8 for Sportivo Luqueno. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno68%fair 1.48 · @1.61
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.55
Sportivo Luqueno13%fair 7.89 · @5.40
2.98Expected goals
2.16Cerro Porteno xG
0.82Sportivo Luqueno xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 2.2 – 0.8 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sportivo Luqueno 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
