Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: 2 de Mayo to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Sportivo Ameliano take on 2 de Mayo on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ameliano Villeta. Sportivo Ameliano are 9th with 19 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while 2 de Mayo sit 6th on 30 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Rubio NU 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
2 de Mayo's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Cerro Porteno 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
2 de Mayo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished 2 de Mayo 1–2 Sportivo Ameliano. Across their last 2 meetings Sportivo Ameliano have won 2, 2 de Mayo 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.9 for 2 de Mayo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Ameliano 45%, draw 23%, 2 de Mayo 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: 2 de Mayo to win at 3.80 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Sportivo Ameliano 1–0 2 de Mayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Ameliano45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
2 de Mayo33%fair 3.06 · @3.80
2.12Expected goals
1.18Sportivo Ameliano xG
0.942 de Mayo xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.2 – 0.9 2 de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and 2 de Mayo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–0 2 de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ameliano Villeta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
