Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Club Sp. San Lorenzo to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Guarani to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.14
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Clausura sees Club Sp. San Lorenzo take on Club Guarani on Thursday 30 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gunther Vogel. Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th with 11 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Club Guarani sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Club Guarani's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Sportivo Luqueno 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 Club Guarani.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.3 for Club Guarani. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 33%, draw 22%, Club Guarani 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Club Sp. San Lorenzo to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Club Guarani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo33%fair 3.03 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Club Guarani45%fair 2.25 · @2.10
2.35Expected goals
1.06Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.29Club Guarani xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.1 – 1.3 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Guarani 45%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
