Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Colón to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColón to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceColón or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Colón vs Paysandu preview and prediction
The match
Colón host Paysandu in the Segunda División on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Colón are 3rd with 39 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Paysandu sit 6th on 35 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Colón's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Sportivo Huracan 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paysandu's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Fenix 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Colón arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Paysandu 0–2 Colón.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Colón and 0.7 for Paysandu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colón 58%, draw 23%, Paysandu 19%.
Safer route: Colón or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Colón to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Colón 2–0 Paysandu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colón58%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
Paysandu19%fair 5.28 · @3.80
2.23Expected goals
1.51Colón xG
0.72Paysandu xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Colón 1.5 – 0.7 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Colón vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Colón have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paysandu 19%.
How many goals will there be in Colón vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colón vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Colón 2–0 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Colón vs Paysandu?
Colón vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
