Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Plaza Colonia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chancePlaza Colonia or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.30
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia preview and prediction
The match
Tacuarembo host Plaza Colonia in the Segunda División on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Tacuarembo are 13th with 26 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Plaza Colonia sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tacuarembo's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to La Luz 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Plaza Colonia's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to CA River Plate 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Tacuarembo and 1.5 for Plaza Colonia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tacuarembo 16%, draw 22%, Plaza Colonia 61%.
Safer route: Plaza Colonia or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Plaza Colonia to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Plaza Colonia or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tacuarembo 0–1 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacuarembo16%fair 6.14 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Plaza Colonia61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
2.06Expected goals
0.58Tacuarembo xG
1.49Plaza Colonia xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–214%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 0.6 – 1.5 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Plaza Colonia or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.30
–
Form
Tacuarembo – last 6
LDLWLW
13 Jul
@ La Luz
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Cerrito
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Atenas
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 6
LWLLWD
11 Jul
@ CA River Plate
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs La Luz
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
20 Jun
vs Atenas
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Paysandu
2–1
W
5 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Plaza Colonia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Plaza Colonia 61%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 0–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia?
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
