Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Luz to win ✓39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.31
Miramar vs La Luz preview and prediction
The match
Miramar host La Luz in the Segunda División on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Parque Palermo. Miramar are 12th with 30 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while La Luz sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Miramar's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Cashmere Technical 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
La Luz's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Tacuarembo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Miramar and 1.1 for La Luz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miramar 35%, draw 25%, La Luz 39%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Miramar 0–1 La Luz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miramar35%fair 2.83 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
La Luz39%fair 2.55 · @2.55
2.05Expected goals
0.99Miramar xG
1.06La Luz xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Miramar 1.0 – 1.1 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Luz to win✓
39%
2.55
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.31
–
Form
Miramar – last 6
LLDWLW
26 Jul
@ Cashmere Technical
1–2
L
12 Jul
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
6 Jul
vs Atenas
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Paysandu
3–2
W
19 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Luz – last 6
WLDWLL
13 Jul
vs Tacuarembo
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Plaza Colonia
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ CA River Plate
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Cerrito
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Atenas
0–4
L
6 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miramar and La Luz.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Miramar vs La Luz?
On our numbers Miramar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and La Luz 39%.
How many goals will there be in Miramar vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miramar vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Miramar 0–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Miramar vs La Luz?
Miramar vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
