Value bet: Atenas to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.89
Fenix vs Atenas preview and prediction
The match
Fenix host Atenas in the Segunda División on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Parque Capurro. Fenix are 11th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Atenas sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fenix's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Paysandu 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atenas's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Rentistas 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Atenas 1–4 Fenix.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Fenix and 1.2 for Atenas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenix 42%, draw 24%, Atenas 34%.
Value angle: Atenas to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Fenix 1–1 Atenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix42%fair 2.38 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Atenas34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
2.63Expected goals
1.40Fenix xG
1.23Atenas xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.4 – 1.2 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fenix vs Atenas?
On our numbers Fenix have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 34%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Atenas?
Fenix vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
