Fenix travel to face Paysandu in the Segunda División on Monday 13 July (23:00 WAT). Paysandu are 5th with 35 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Fenix sit 11th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Paysandu's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Rentistas 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fenix's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Sportivo Huracan 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fenix arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Paysandu and 1.2 for Fenix. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paysandu 29%, draw 27%, Fenix 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–1 Fenix. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu29%fair 3.51 · @3.60
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Fenix45%fair 2.24 · @1.95
2.53Expected goals
1.32Paysandu xG
1.21Fenix xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.3 – 1.2 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Paysandu
Fenix
Attack vs Segunda División average
+11%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.54
0.99
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fenix to win✗
45%
2.24
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.96
–
Form
Paysandu – last 6
WLLLWL
4 Jul
@ Rentistas
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs Miramar
2–3
L
20 Jun
@ Tacuarembo
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ La Luz
2–1
W
30 May
vs Cerrito
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fenix – last 6
WLDDWD
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
27 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
2–3
L
20 Jun
vs Oriental
2–2
D
13 Jun
@ Colón
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs CA River Plate
3–1
W
31 May
vs Rentistas
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Fenix.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Paysandu vs Fenix?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fenix 45%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Fenix?
Paysandu vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
