Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Luz to win ✓55% · @1.85
Double chanceLa Luz or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
La Luz vs Tacuarembo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees La Luz take on Tacuarembo on Monday 13 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). La Luz are 5th with 37 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Tacuarembo sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
La Luz's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Plaza Colonia 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tacuarembo's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Cerrito 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Tacuarembo 1–1 La Luz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for La Luz and 0.6 for Tacuarembo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Luz 55%, draw 29%, Tacuarembo 16%.
Safer route: La Luz or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: La Luz 1–0 Tacuarembo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Luz55%fair 1.81 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @3.10
Tacuarembo16%fair 6.23 · @4.20
1.95Expected goals
1.30La Luz xG
0.65Tacuarembo xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Luz 1.3 – 0.6 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
La Luz
Tacuarembo
Attack vs Segunda División average
-9%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.24
0.70
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win La Luz vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers La Luz have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tacuarembo 16%.
How many goals will there be in La Luz vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Luz vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is La Luz 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is La Luz vs Tacuarembo?
La Luz vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
