Value bet: Miramar to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerrito to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.52
Cerrito vs Miramar preview and prediction
The match
Miramar travel to face Cerrito in the Segunda División on Sunday 12 July (19:00 WAT). Cerrito are 8th with 34 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Miramar sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cerrito's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Tacuarembo 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Miramar's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Atenas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Cerrito and 1.2 for Miramar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cerrito 41%, draw 24%, Miramar 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Miramar to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cerrito 1–1 Miramar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerrito41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Miramar35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
2.54Expected goals
1.34Cerrito xG
1.21Miramar xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.3 – 1.2 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerrito to win✓
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerrito / FT Cerrito✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.52
–
Form
Cerrito – last 6
DWLLWW
5 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
7 Jun
vs Atenas
2–1
W
30 May
@ Paysandu
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Miramar – last 6
DWLWDW
6 Jul
vs Atenas
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Paysandu
3–2
W
19 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Oriental
2–2
D
30 May
@ Colón
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerrito and Miramar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerrito vs Miramar?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Miramar 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Miramar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Miramar?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Miramar?
Cerrito vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
