Value bet: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Saarbrücken to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.31
FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees FC Saarbrücken take on FC Ingolstadt 04 on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Ludwigspark Stadion. FC Saarbrücken are 6th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Saarbrücken's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat SV Meppen 6–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
FC Ingolstadt 04's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Alemannia Aachen 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
FC Saarbrücken arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished FC Saarbrücken 1–0 FC Ingolstadt 04.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.1 for FC Saarbrücken and 1.9 for FC Ingolstadt 04. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Saarbrücken 41%, draw 21%, FC Ingolstadt 04 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Ingolstadt 04 to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FC Saarbrücken 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Saarbrücken41%fair 2.42 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
FC Ingolstadt 0437%fair 2.68 · @2.90
4.00Expected goals
2.05FC Saarbrücken xG
1.95FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: FC Saarbrücken 2.1 – 1.9 FC Ingolstadt 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
On our numbers FC Saarbrücken have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Ingolstadt 04 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
Our predicted score is FC Saarbrücken 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
FC Saarbrücken vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Ludwigspark Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
