Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMSV Duisburg to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees Fortuna Düsseldorf take on MSV Duisburg on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Merkur Spiel-Arena. Fortuna Düsseldorf are 13th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while MSV Duisburg sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fortuna Düsseldorf's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Fortuna Köln 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
MSV Duisburg's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat SSV Jahn Regensburg 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MSV Duisburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.5 for MSV Duisburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 MSV Duisburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Düsseldorf33%fair 3.03 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
MSV Duisburg46%fair 2.17 · @2.25
2.63Expected goals
1.17Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
1.46MSV Duisburg xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.2 – 1.5 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✗
46%
2.17
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6
DWLLLW
6 Sep
@ Fortuna Köln
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Stuttgart II
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Freiburg
1–5
L
15 Aug
vs Hoffenheim II
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Waldhof Mannheim
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 6
WWLWWD
5 Sep
@ SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Würzburger Kickers
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Verl
4–2
W
8 Aug
vs SV Meppen
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Sparta Rotterdam
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MSV Duisburg 46%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
