Double chanceRodina Moskva II or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga preview and prediction
The match
Kaluga travel to Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 4 October (15:00 WAT) to face Rodina Moskva II. Rodina Moskva II are 2nd with 31 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Kaluga sit 10th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Novosibirsk 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kaluga's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Kirov 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rodina Moskva II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Kaluga 0–0 Rodina Moskva II. Across their last 3 meetings Rodina Moskva II have won 0, Kaluga 1, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Rodina Moskva II and 0.6 for Kaluga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva II 68%, draw 21%, Kaluga 10%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.68.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Kaluga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva II68%fair 1.46 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.50
Kaluga10%fair 9.67 · @6.30
2.48Expected goals
1.89Rodina Moskva II xG
0.58Kaluga xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.9 – 0.6 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kaluga 10%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Kaluga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga?
Rodina Moskva II vs Kaluga (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
