Double chanceRodina Moskva II or draw ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk preview and prediction
The match
The Second League A Fall Season Gold sees Rodina Moskva II take on Novosibirsk on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina. Rodina Moskva II are 2nd with 31 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Novosibirsk sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Dinamo Vladivostok 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novosibirsk's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Kaluga 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rodina Moskva II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Novosibirsk 1–3 Rodina Moskva II. Across their last 3 meetings Rodina Moskva II have won 1, Novosibirsk 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Rodina Moskva II and 0.9 for Novosibirsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodina Moskva II 58%, draw 21%, Novosibirsk 21%.
Safer route: Rodina Moskva II or draw (79%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.72.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodina Moskva II58%fair 1.72 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.55
Novosibirsk21%fair 4.84 · @4.10
2.64Expected goals
1.73Rodina Moskva II xG
0.91Novosibirsk xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva II 1.7 – 0.9 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Novosibirsk 21%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva II 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk?
Rodina Moskva II vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
