Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rodina Moskva II to win @ 2.24 – our chance 47% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodina Moskva II to win ✗47% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II preview and prediction
The match
Rodina Moskva II travel to Orbita stadium in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Saturday 8 August (12:00 WAT) to face Kaluga. Kaluga are 10th with 11 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Rodina Moskva II sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kaluga's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Kirov 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Novosibirsk 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Rodina Moskva II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 May 2026, finished Rodina Moskva II 1–2 Kaluga. Across their last 2 meetings Kaluga have won 1, Rodina Moskva II 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Kaluga and 1.3 for Rodina Moskva II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaluga 30%, draw 22%, Rodina Moskva II 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.78.
Value angle: Rodina Moskva II to win at 2.24 – 47% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kaluga 0–1 Rodina Moskva II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaluga30%fair 3.33 · @2.99
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.02
Rodina Moskva II47%fair 2.11 · @2.24
2.16Expected goals
0.91Kaluga xG
1.25Rodina Moskva II xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kaluga 0.9 – 1.3 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rodina Moskva II 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 0–1 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II?
Kaluga vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
