Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 2.22 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevilla to win ✓50% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.85
Utrecht vs Sevilla preview and prediction
The match
Utrecht host Sevilla in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Utrecht's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Cambuur 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sevilla's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat NEC Nijmegen 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Utrecht and 1.5 for Sevilla. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Utrecht 30%, draw 20%, Sevilla 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Sevilla to win at 2.22 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Utrecht 1–1 Sevilla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utrecht30%fair 3.30 · @2.88
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Sevilla50%fair 2.02 · @2.22
2.58Expected goals
1.09Utrecht xG
1.50Sevilla xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.1 – 1.5 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✓
50%
2.02
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✓
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.85
–
Form
Utrecht – last 6
LWLWWL
24 Jul
@ Cambuur
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs De Graafschap
1–2
L
21 May
vs Heerenveen
3–2
W
17 May
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Excelsior
0–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
WWDLWL
31 Jul
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
23 Jul
@ Cordoba
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Cracovia Krakow
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
17 May
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and Sevilla.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Utrecht vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sevilla 50%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs Sevilla?
Utrecht vs Sevilla (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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