Value bet: Union Berlin to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Berlin to win ✗48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Union Berlin vs Cagliari preview and prediction
The match
Cagliari travel to face Union Berlin in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 2 August (13:00 WAT).
Form guide
Union Berlin's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Dynamo Dresden 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Cagliari's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Modena 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cagliari arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Union Berlin and 1.3 for Cagliari. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Berlin 48%, draw 22%, Cagliari 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Union Berlin to win at 2.40 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Union Berlin 1–1 Cagliari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Berlin48%fair 2.07 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Cagliari30%fair 3.35 · @2.62
3.03Expected goals
1.73Union Berlin xG
1.30Cagliari xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.7 – 1.3 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Berlin to win✗
48%
2.07
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Berlin / FT Union Berlin✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Union Berlin – last 6
LLDLDW
1 Aug
@ Dynamo Dresden
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ FC Aarau
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ FC Winterthur
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0–2
L
9 Jul
@ Chemnitzer FC
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Optik Rathenow
12–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WDWWDW
28 Jul
vs Modena
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Sampdoria
0–0
D
24 May
@ AC Milan
2–1
W
17 May
vs Torino
2–1
W
3 May
@ Bologna
0–0
D
27 Apr
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and Cagliari.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cagliari 30%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
Union Berlin vs Cagliari (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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