Value bet: Velež to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelež to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina preview and prediction
The match
The Premijer Liga sees Velež take on Radnik Bijeljina on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Rodjeni. Velež are 7th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Radnik Bijeljina sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Velež's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Čelik 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Radnik Bijeljina's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Borac Banja Luka 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Velež 1–0 Radnik Bijeljina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Velež and 0.9 for Radnik Bijeljina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Velež to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Velež 2–0 Radnik Bijeljina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velež60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.20
Radnik Bijeljina20%fair 5.11 · @4.10
2.68Expected goals
1.80Velež xG
0.88Radnik Bijeljina xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Velež 1.8 – 0.9 Radnik Bijeljina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
On our numbers Velež have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Radnik Bijeljina 20%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our predicted score is Velež 2–0 Radnik Bijeljina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
