Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Siroki Brijeg to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Sarajevo to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo preview and prediction
The match
FK Sarajevo travel to Stadion Pecara in the Premijer Liga on Wednesday 2 September (19:30 WAT) to face Siroki Brijeg. Siroki Brijeg are 4th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FK Sarajevo sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Siroki Brijeg's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Sarajevo's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Zrinjski 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Siroki Brijeg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Siroki Brijeg 1–0 FK Sarajevo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Siroki Brijeg and 1.0 for FK Sarajevo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Siroki Brijeg 36%, draw 25%, FK Sarajevo 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Siroki Brijeg to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Siroki Brijeg 0–0 FK Sarajevo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siroki Brijeg36%fair 2.77 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.00
FK Sarajevo39%fair 2.54 · @2.05
1.87Expected goals
0.90Siroki Brijeg xG
0.96FK Sarajevo xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Siroki Brijeg 0.9 – 1.0 FK Sarajevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
On our numbers Siroki Brijeg have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Sarajevo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
Our predicted score is Siroki Brijeg 0–0 FK Sarajevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pecara.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
