Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas preview and prediction
The match
Venda Nova host Inter de Minas in the Mineiro 3 on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Venda Nova are 4th with 4 points from 3 games, while Inter de Minas sit 5th on 3 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Venda Nova's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Novo Esporte Clube 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Inter de Minas's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Santarritense 7–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Venda Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Venda Nova and 1.1 for Inter de Minas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venda Nova 58%, draw 25%, Inter de Minas 18%.
Safer route: Venda Nova or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Venda Nova 2–1 Inter de Minas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venda Nova58%fair 1.74 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.50
Inter de Minas18%fair 5.61 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.11Venda Nova xG
1.14Inter de Minas xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Venda Nova 2.1 – 1.1 Inter de Minas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venda Nova to win✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Double chance
Venda Nova or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Venda Nova ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venda Nova / FT Venda Nova✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Venda Nova – last 3
DWW
3 Oct
@ Novo Esporte Clube
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Santarritense
8–0
W
19 Sep
vs Nova Lavras
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Inter de Minas – last 3
WLL
2 Oct
vs Santarritense
7–1
W
25 Sep
vs Nacional AC MG
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Novo Esporte Clube
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venda Nova and Inter de Minas.
What is the prediction for Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
On our numbers Venda Nova have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Inter de Minas 18%.
How many goals will there be in Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
Our predicted score is Venda Nova 2–1 Inter de Minas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas?
Venda Nova vs Inter de Minas (Mineiro 3) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
