Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians preview and prediction
The match
Hamrun Spartans host Hibernians in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18 points from 12 games, while Hibernians sit 4th on 19 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hamrun Spartans's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Marsaxlokk 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hibernians's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Floriana 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Hamrun Spartans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Hibernians 0–1 Hamrun Spartans.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Hamrun Spartans and 0.6 for Hibernians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Hamrun Spartans to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Hibernians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamrun Spartans68%fair 1.46 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @4.00
Hibernians11%fair 9.38 · @4.50
2.61Expected goals
1.97Hamrun Spartans xG
0.64Hibernians xG
43%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 2.0 – 0.6 Hibernians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
Our pick is Hamrun Spartans to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hibernians 11%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 1–0 Hibernians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians?
Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
