Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFloriana to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceFloriana or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Floriana vs Balzan FC preview and prediction
The match
Balzan FC travel to Victor Tedesco Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October (10:00 WAT) to face Floriana. Floriana are 6th with 16 points from 12 games, while Balzan FC sit 10th on 14 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Floriana's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Hibernians 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Balzan FC's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Sliema Wanderers 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Floriana and 1.0 for Balzan FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Floriana 58%, draw 22%, Balzan FC 20%.
Safer route: Floriana or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Floriana to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Floriana 1–0 Balzan FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floriana58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Balzan FC20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
2.90Expected goals
1.89Floriana xG
1.00Balzan FC xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Floriana 1.9 – 1.0 Balzan FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floriana to win✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Floriana or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Floriana ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Floriana / FT Floriana✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Floriana – last 6
WLLWDW
20 Sep
@ Hibernians
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Marsaxlokk
2–5
L
7 Sep
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Gzira United
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Sliema Wanderers
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Balzan FC – last 6
DDWWLD
20 Sep
vs Sliema Wanderers
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Valletta FC
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Birzebbuga
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Gzira United
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Mosta
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floriana and Balzan FC.
Our pick is Floriana to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Floriana vs Balzan FC?
On our numbers Floriana have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Balzan FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Floriana vs Balzan FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floriana vs Balzan FC?
Our predicted score is Floriana 1–0 Balzan FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Floriana vs Balzan FC?
Floriana vs Balzan FC (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Victor Tedesco Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
