Value bet: SK Poltava to win @ 1.72 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSK Poltava to win ✓65% · @1.72
Double chanceSK Poltava or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia preview and prediction
The match
The Persha Liga sees SK Poltava take on Prykarpattia on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Lokomotyv Stadium. SK Poltava are 6th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Prykarpattia sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
SK Poltava's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Probiy Horodenka 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Prykarpattia's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Chernihiv 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for SK Poltava and 0.6 for Prykarpattia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SK Poltava 65%, draw 22%, Prykarpattia 13%.
Safer route: SK Poltava or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: SK Poltava to win at 1.72 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: SK Poltava 1–0 Prykarpattia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SK Poltava65%fair 1.53 · @1.72
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.37
Prykarpattia13%fair 7.90 · @4.48
2.38Expected goals
1.76SK Poltava xG
0.62Prykarpattia xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: SK Poltava 1.8 – 0.6 Prykarpattia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SK Poltava to win✓
65%
1.53
1.72 ▲
Double chance
SK Poltava or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
SK Poltava ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SK Poltava / FT SK Poltava✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.13
–
Form
SK Poltava – last 6
LWLWLD
10 Oct
@ Probiy Horodenka
2–3
L
2 Oct
vs Chernihiv
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Kulykiv
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Metal Kharkiv
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Lokomotiv Kyiv
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Inhulets
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Prykarpattia – last 6
LDLWLW
11 Oct
vs Chernihiv
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Metal Kharkiv
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Inhulets
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs UCSA
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs FC Kharkiv
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Nyva Ternopil
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SK Poltava and Prykarpattia.
What is the prediction for SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?
On our numbers SK Poltava have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Prykarpattia 13%.
How many goals will there be in SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?
Our predicted score is SK Poltava 1–0 Prykarpattia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia?
SK Poltava vs Prykarpattia (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lokomotyv Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
