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Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Palermo

Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.96

Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction

The match

The Primera División Apertura sees Central Espanol take on Liverpool Montevideo on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Parque Palermo. Central Espanol are 16th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Central Espanol's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Cerro Largo 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Defensor Sporting 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 24 March 2026, finished Liverpool Montevideo 3–3 Central Espanol.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Central Espanol and 1.3 for Liverpool Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Central Espanol 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Central Espanol32%fair 3.09 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Liverpool Montevideo45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
2.34Expected goals
1.04Central Espanol xG
1.30Liverpool Montevideo xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Central Espanol 1.0 – 1.3 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗45%2.212.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.96–

Form

Central Espanol – last 6

LDDLWW
25 Julvs Cerro Largo0–1L
12 Jul@ Boston River0–0D
6 Junvs Racing Montevideo1–1D
24 May@ Cerro0–1L
17 Mayvs Defensor Sporting2–1W
26 Aprvs Cerro3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Liverpool Montevideo – last 6

WLDWDL
21 Jul@ Defensor Sporting2–1W
12 Julvs Cerro1–2L
8 Junvs Cerro Largo0–0D
1 Jun@ Boston River1–0W
22 Mayvs Racing Montevideo0–0D
8 May@ Wanderers0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Liverpool Montevideo v Central Espanol3–3
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

On our numbers Central Espanol have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Liverpool Montevideo 45%.

How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.