Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
1
Value bet: Ararat to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArarat to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Ararat vs Sardarapat preview and prediction
The match
Ararat host Sardarapat in the Premier League on Friday 7 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Ararat are 9th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Sardarapat sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ararat's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Alashkert 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sardarapat's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Van 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Sardarapat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Sardarapat 1–1 Ararat.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Ararat and 1.7 for Sardarapat. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Ararat to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ararat 2–1 Sardarapat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat40%fair 2.53 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Sardarapat38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
3.36Expected goals
1.71Ararat xG
1.66Sardarapat xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ararat 1.7 – 1.7 Sardarapat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ararat vs Sardarapat?
On our numbers Ararat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sardarapat 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Sardarapat?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Sardarapat?
Our predicted score is Ararat 2–1 Sardarapat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ararat vs Sardarapat?
Ararat vs Sardarapat (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
