Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.96
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu preview and prediction
The match
FC Urartu travel to Football Academy Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 7 August (16:00 WAT) to face Ararat-Armenia. Ararat-Armenia are 3rd with 29 points from 12 games (in the top four), while FC Urartu sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Celje 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
FC Urartu's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Pyunik Yerevan 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ararat-Armenia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.5 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.6 for FC Urartu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ararat-Armenia 58%, draw 20%, FC Urartu 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 2–1 FC Urartu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
FC Urartu22%fair 4.54 · @3.35
4.09Expected goals
2.53Ararat-Armenia xG
1.56FC Urartu xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–25%
2–05%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 2.5 – 1.6 FC Urartu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.28 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.30
Half-time result
Ararat-Armenia ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.96
–
Form
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
WWLWLW
4 Aug
vs Celje
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Gandzasar
4–3
W
28 Jul
@ Shamrock Rovers
1–2
L
21 Jul
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–0
W
14 Jul
@ Riga
2–3
L
7 Jul
vs Riga
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Urartu – last 6
DWLWDL
2 Aug
vs Pyunik Yerevan
2–2
D
17 Jul
@ Spaeri
3–2
W
17 Jul
@ Aragvi Dusheti
3–4
L
14 Jul
@ Meshakhte
4–2
W
11 Jul
@ Gagra
2–2
D
27 May
vs FC Noah
0–5
L
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and FC Urartu.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Urartu 22%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 2–1 FC Urartu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu?
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
