Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPiratas to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat preview and prediction
The match
Piratas host Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Piratas are 4th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Correcaminos Uat sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Piratas's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Leones Negros UDG 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Correcaminos Uat's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Durango 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Correcaminos Uat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Piratas and 0.8 for Correcaminos Uat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Piratas to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Piratas 1–0 Correcaminos Uat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piratas61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Correcaminos Uat15%fair 6.46 · @4.60
2.67Expected goals
1.85Piratas xG
0.82Correcaminos Uat xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Piratas 1.9 – 0.8 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piratas to win✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Double chance
Piratas or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Piratas ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piratas / FT Piratas✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.79
–
Form
Piratas – last 6
DLLWWD
30 Aug
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Cancún
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Durango
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs Monarcas
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
DWLWWD
29 Aug
vs Durango
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Monarcas
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Tapatío
2–3
L
7 Aug
@ Leones Negros UDG
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Tepatitlán
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piratas and Correcaminos Uat.
What is the prediction for Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is Piratas to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers Piratas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Correcaminos Uat 15%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our predicted score is Piratas 1–0 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Piratas vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.