Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Monarcas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonarcas to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Monarcas take on Alebrijes de Oaxaca on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Morelos. Monarcas are 3rd with 26 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit 9th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Monarcas's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Dorados 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Tapatío 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Monarcas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Monarcas and 0.7 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monarcas 66%, draw 22%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12%.
Safer route: Monarcas or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Monarcas to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Monarcas 2–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monarcas66%fair 1.51 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca12%fair 8.50 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
2.01Monarcas xG
0.74Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
3–16%
From our goals model: Monarcas 2.0 – 0.7 Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monarcas to win✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Double chance
Monarcas or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Monarcas ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
Monarcas – last 6
WLWWLW
29 Aug
@ Dorados
1–0
W
21 Aug
vs Correcaminos Uat
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Cancún
4–1
W
2 Aug
@ Piratas
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs CA La Paz
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 6
DLWWLL
28 Aug
vs Tapatío
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Tepatitlán
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Tlaxcala
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Dorados
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Venados FC
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monarcas and Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our pick is Monarcas to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 2–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Monarcas vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
