Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Monarcas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.81 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.81Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonarcas to win ✗62% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat preview and prediction
The match
Monarcas host Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Morelos. Monarcas are 3rd with 26 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Correcaminos Uat sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Monarcas's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Correcaminos Uat's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Tapatío 2–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Monarcas and 1.4 for Correcaminos Uat. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Monarcas to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.81, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Monarcas 2–1 Correcaminos Uat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monarcas62%fair 1.60 · @1.81
Draw13%fair 7.86 · @3.95
Correcaminos Uat25%fair 4.02 · @3.80
3.68Expected goals
2.32Monarcas xG
1.35Correcaminos Uat xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Monarcas 2.3 – 1.4 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monarcas to win✗
62%
1.60
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Half-time result
Monarcas ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Monarcas – last 6
WWLWDL
15 Aug
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Cancún
4–1
W
2 Aug
@ Piratas
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs CA La Paz
4–2
W
5 Jul
vs Cruz Azul
3–3
D
20 Jun
@ Necaxa
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
LWWDDL
15 Aug
vs Tapatío
2–3
L
7 Aug
@ Leones Negros UDG
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Tepatitlán
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
3–3
D
4 Jul
vs Guadalajara Chivas
0–0
D
1 Jul
vs Necaxa
3–6
L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monarcas and Correcaminos Uat.
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is Monarcas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.81.
Who will win Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Correcaminos Uat 25%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 2–1 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat?
Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
