Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.58 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.58Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVenados FC to win ✓64% · @1.58
Double chanceVenados FC or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Venados FC vs Dorados preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Venados FC take on Dorados on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero. Venados FC are 6th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Dorados sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Venados FC's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Mineros de Zacatecas 1–5 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Dorados's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Tlaxcala 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Venados FC and 1.1 for Dorados. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venados FC 64%, draw 20%, Dorados 16%.
Safer route: Venados FC or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Venados FC to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.58. Predicted score: Venados FC 2–1 Dorados. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venados FC64%fair 1.56 · @1.58
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.20
Dorados16%fair 6.34 · @5.00
3.43Expected goals
2.33Venados FC xG
1.10Dorados xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Venados FC 2.3 – 1.1 Dorados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venados FC to win✓
64%
1.56
1.58
Double chance
Venados FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.57
Half-time result
Venados FC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venados FC / FT Venados FC✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Venados FC – last 6
LWDWDW
15 Aug
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–5
L
9 Aug
vs Tapatío
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–0
W
19 Apr
@ Tlaxcala
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs Leones Negros UDG
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dorados – last 6
DDWWLW
16 Aug
vs Tlaxcala
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–0
W
18 Apr
vs Tapatío
3–1
W
4 Apr
@ Tlaxcala
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Correcaminos Uat
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venados FC and Dorados.
Our pick is Venados FC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Venados FC vs Dorados?
On our numbers Venados FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dorados 16%.
How many goals will there be in Venados FC vs Dorados?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venados FC vs Dorados?
Our predicted score is Venados FC 2–1 Dorados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Venados FC vs Dorados?
Venados FC vs Dorados (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
