Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Tapatío take on CDS Tampico Madero on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Akron. Tapatío are 11th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while CDS Tampico Madero sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tapatío's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CDS Tampico Madero's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Piratas 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
CDS Tampico Madero arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Tapatío and 1.2 for CDS Tampico Madero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tapatío 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tapatío41%fair 2.42 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
CDS Tampico Madero35%fair 2.87 · @2.88
2.57Expected goals
1.35Tapatío xG
1.22CDS Tampico Madero xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tapatío 1.4 – 1.2 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapatío to win✓
41%
2.42
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapatío / FT Tapatío✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.64
–
Form
Tapatío – last 6
DLLDLL
27 Jul
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0–0
D
3 Jul
@ Leon
2–4
L
27 Apr
@ Cancún
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Cancún
1–1
D
18 Apr
@ Dorados
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Irapuato
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
DLLLDW
26 Jul
vs Piratas
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Club America
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tepatitlán
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tepatitlán
0–1
L
4 May
@ Cancún
1–1
D
1 May
vs Cancún
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapatío and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Tapatío have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CDS Tampico Madero 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
