Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City preview and prediction
The match
Paju Citizen host Gangneung City in the FA Cup on Wednesday 15 July, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Paju Citizen's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Hwaseong 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gangneung City's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Mokpo City 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Paju Citizen and 0.9 for Gangneung City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paju Citizen 53%, draw 26%, Gangneung City 21%.
Safer route: Paju Citizen or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paju Citizen to win – a 53% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Paju Citizen 1–0 Gangneung City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paju Citizen53%fair 1.89 · @1.65
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.40
Gangneung City21%fair 4.71 · @4.80
2.07Expected goals
1.21Paju Citizen xG
0.86Gangneung City xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.2 – 0.9 Gangneung City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paju Citizen to win✓
53%
1.89
1.65
Double chance
Paju Citizen or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paju Citizen / FT Paju Citizen✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.56
–
Form
Paju Citizen – last 6
WLLLDL
11 Jul
@ Hwaseong
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Yongin City
0–1
L
30 May
@ Busan I Park
1–4
L
25 May
vs Gimpo Citizen
0–1
L
3 May
vs Cheongju
0–0
D
25 Apr
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gangneung City – last 6
LWLLWL
11 Jul
@ Mokpo City
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Jecheon Citizen
2–0
W
28 Jun
@ Dangjin Citizen
2–5
L
21 Jun
@ Pocheon
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Ulsan Citizen
2–1
W
30 May
vs Changwon City
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Gangneung City.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?
Our pick is Paju Citizen to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gangneung City 21%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–0 Gangneung City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City?
Paju Citizen vs Gangneung City (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea
Jeonnam Dragons3
Asan Mugunghwa4
Ansan Greeners0
Jinju Citizen2
Changwon City1
Gimhae City5
Daegu FC0
Siheung Citizen1
Hwaseong4
Yangpyeong3
Seongnam FC1
Pocheon1
Ulsan Citizen2
Seoul E-Land FC2
Yongin City0
Dangjin Citizen2