Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHwaseong to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceHwaseong or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 13.15
Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong preview and prediction
The match
Yangpyeong travel to face Hwaseong in the FA Cup on Wednesday 15 July (11:00 WAT).
Form guide
Hwaseong's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Paju Citizen 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Yangpyeong's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Jeonbuk Motors II 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Hwaseong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 3.2 for Hwaseong and 1.4 for Yangpyeong. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Hwaseong to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Hwaseong 3–1 Yangpyeong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hwaseong68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.80
Yangpyeong12%fair 8.12 · @6.50
4.61Expected goals
3.17Hwaseong xG
1.44Yangpyeong xG
57%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–25%
3–05%
2–25%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 3.2 – 1.4 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hwaseong to win✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
Hwaseong or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Hwaseong ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
13.15
–
Form
Hwaseong – last 6
LLWWWD
11 Jul
vs Paju Citizen
1–2
L
6 Jun
vs Suwon Bluewings
1–2
L
31 May
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–0
W
23 May
@ Cheongju
3–2
W
17 May
vs Busan I Park
3–2
W
9 May
vs Suwon City FC
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Yangpyeong – last 6
WDDLDL
12 Jul
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
5–2
W
4 Jul
@ Ulsan FC
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Chuncheon
3–3
D
20 Jun
vs Yeoju Sejong
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Mokpo City
0–0
D
30 May
@ Dangjin Citizen
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Yangpyeong.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?
Our pick is Hwaseong to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Yangpyeong 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 3–1 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?
Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea
Jeonnam Dragons3
Asan Mugunghwa4
Ansan Greeners0
Jinju Citizen2
Changwon City1
Gimhae City5
Daegu FC0
Siheung Citizen1
Paju Citizen3
Gangneung City2
Seongnam FC1
Pocheon1
Ulsan Citizen2
Seoul E-Land FC2
Yongin City0
Dangjin Citizen2