FAW Championship · WalesLlantwit Major vs Newport City prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Llantwit Major 1.5 – 1.7 Newport City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Newport City shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 35% for Llantwit Major.
Llantwit Major have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Newport City have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded. Llantwit Major come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.5 for Llantwit Major, 1.7 for Newport City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Llantwit Major have won 0, Newport City have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newport City to win ✓ | 43% | 2.35 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newport City / FT Newport City ✓ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.33 | – |
Form
Llantwit Major – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Caerau (Ely) | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Trefelin | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Pontardawe Town | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Pontypridd Town | 1–4 | L |
| 2 Oct | @ Carmarthen Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs llanelli AFC | 2–0 | W |
Newport City – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Pontypridd Town | 4–4 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Carmarthen Town | 5–4 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Caerphilly Athletic | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Cardiff Draconians | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Afan Lido | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Ynyshir Albions | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 20 Feb 2026 | Newport City v Llantwit Major | 2–1 |
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
More FAW Championship predictions
League hub
Brickfield Rangers1
Bala Town1
Caersws1
Bangor City 1876 FC1
Gresford Athletic1
Ruthin Town2
Guilsfield2
Porthmadog2
Llanuwchllyn3
Denbigh Town4
Mold Alexandra2
Rhyl1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Llantwit Major vs Newport City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Llantwit Major vs Newport City?
On our numbers Llantwit Major have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newport City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Llantwit Major vs Newport City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Llantwit Major vs Newport City?
Llantwit Major vs Newport City (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.