FAW Championship · WalesLlanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Llanuwchllyn 1.8 – 2.0 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Denbigh Town shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 36% for Llanuwchllyn.
Llanuwchllyn have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 3.2 per game. Denbigh Town have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.8 goals (1.8 for Llanuwchllyn, 2.0 for Denbigh Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.44.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Denbigh Town to win ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Denbigh Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town ✗ | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.34 | – |
Form
Llanuwchllyn – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Bala Town | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Newtown AFC | 0–7 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Penrhyncoch | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Guilsfield | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Caersws | 2–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Mold Alexandra | 2–2 | D |
Denbigh Town – last 6
| 16 Oct | vs Bangor City 1876 FC | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Guilsfield | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Holyhead Hotspur | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Brickfield Rangers | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Bala Town | 5–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Newtown AFC | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llanuwchllyn and Denbigh Town.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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Trethomas Bluebirds1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town?
On our numbers Llanuwchllyn have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Denbigh Town 43%.
How many goals will there be in Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town?
Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.