FAW Championship · WalesCardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.7 – 1.6 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Cardiff Draconians and Afan Lido on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Cardiff Draconians have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Afan Lido have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.7 for Cardiff Draconians, 1.6 for Afan Lido). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cardiff Draconians to win ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.68 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cardiff Draconians / FT Cardiff Draconians ✓ | 23% | 4.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.00 | – |
Form
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Trethomas Bluebirds | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Radnor Valley | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Carmarthen Town | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Newport City | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Caerau (Ely) | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Baglan Dragons | 2–1 | W |
Afan Lido – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ llanelli AFC | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Penybont | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Swansea University | 5–5 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Caerau (Ely) | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Newport City | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Pontypridd Town | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Afan Lido.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
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Rhyl1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Afan Lido 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.