Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons preview and prediction
The match
Baglan Dragons travel to face Cardiff Draconians in the FAW Championship on Saturday 12 September (14:30 WAT). Cardiff Draconians are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Baglan Dragons sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cardiff Draconians's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat llanelli AFC 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Baglan Dragons's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Afan Lido 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Baglan Dragons arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Cardiff Draconians and 1.3 for Baglan Dragons. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Cardiff Draconians 2–1 Baglan Dragons. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff Draconians42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Baglan Dragons36%fair 2.74 · @2.70
2.65Expected goals
1.38Cardiff Draconians xG
1.26Baglan Dragons xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cardiff Draconians 1.4 – 1.3 Baglan Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff Draconians to win✓
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff Draconians / FT Cardiff Draconians✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
WLDLWL
22 Aug
vs llanelli AFC
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Pontypridd Town
1–4
L
7 Aug
@ Caerphilly Athletic
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Ynyshir Albions
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Ynyshir Albions
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Baglan Dragons – last 6
WLWWWL
4 Sep
vs Afan Lido
2–1
W
31 Aug
vs Caerphilly Athletic
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Caerau (Ely)
3–1
W
21 Aug
@ Newport City
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Llantwit Major
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Swansea University
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff Draconians and Baglan Dragons.
What is the prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
On our numbers Cardiff Draconians have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Baglan Dragons 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
Our predicted score is Cardiff Draconians 2–1 Baglan Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons?
Cardiff Draconians vs Baglan Dragons (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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