FAW Championship · WalesPorthmadog vs Ruthin Town prediction & analysis
Porthmadog to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Porthmadog 2.3 – 0.9 Ruthin Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Porthmadog are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 14% for Ruthin Town.
Porthmadog have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Ruthin Town have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded. Porthmadog come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.3 for Porthmadog, 0.9 for Ruthin Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Porthmadog to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Porthmadog to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.53 ▲ |
| Double chance | Porthmadog or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | Porthmadog ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Porthmadog / FT Porthmadog ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.41 | – |
Form
Porthmadog – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Bala Town | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Holyhead Hotspur | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Caersws | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Denbigh Town | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Buckley Town | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Rhyl | 1–0 | W |
Ruthin Town – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Caersws | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Brickfield Rangers | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Mold Alexandra | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Guilsfield | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | vs Denbigh Town | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Bala Town | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Porthmadog and Ruthin Town.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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Ynyshir Albions2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town?
Our pick is Porthmadog to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town?
On our numbers Porthmadog have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ruthin Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town?
Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.