FAW Championship · Wales · USW Sports ParkPontypridd Town vs Afan Lido prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 2.7 – 1.7 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pontypridd Town hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 23% for Afan Lido.
Pontypridd Town have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Afan Lido have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Pontypridd Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.4 goals (2.7 for Pontypridd Town, 1.7 for Afan Lido). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 2–2 (6%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.44.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pontypridd Town to win ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Pontypridd Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 13.25 | – |
Form
Pontypridd Town – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Swansea University | 4–4 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Trethomas Bluebirds | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Cardiff Draconians | 4–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Pontardawe Town | 3–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Treowen Stars | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Mar | vs Trefelin | 1–3 | L |
Afan Lido – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ Baglan Dragons | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Ynyshir Albions | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Trethomas Bluebirds | 2–5 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Pontardawe Town | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Carmarthen Town | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Llantwit Major | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and Afan Lido.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
More FAW Championship predictions
League hub
Denbigh Town5
Bala Town2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Afan Lido 23%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido?
Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.