FAW Championship · WalesDenbigh Town vs Bala Town prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Denbigh Town 1.2 – 2.2 Bala Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bala Town shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 19% for Denbigh Town.
Denbigh Town have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Bala Town have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. Bala Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.2 for Denbigh Town, 2.2 for Bala Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bala Town to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Bala Town or draw ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Half-time result | Bala Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bala Town / FT Bala Town ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.21 | – |
Form
Denbigh Town – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Newtown AFC | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Rhyl | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Penrhyncoch | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Porthmadog | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Ruthin Town | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Bangor City 1876 FC | 1–2 | L |
Bala Town – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Porthmadog | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Newtown AFC | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Rhyl | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Gresford Athletic | 3–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Ruthin Town | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ Bangor City 1876 FC | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denbigh Town and Bala Town.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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What is the prediction for Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?
On our numbers Denbigh Town have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bala Town 60%.
How many goals will there be in Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Denbigh Town vs Bala Town?
Denbigh Town vs Bala Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.