Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Pontypridd Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chancePontypridd Town or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.14
Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds preview and prediction
The match
Pontypridd Town host Trethomas Bluebirds in the FAW Championship on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at USW Sports Park. Pontypridd Town are 1st with 27 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Pontypridd Town's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Cardiff Draconians 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Trethomas Bluebirds's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Caerau (Ely) 2–4 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Pontypridd Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Trethomas Bluebirds 4–2 Pontypridd Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Pontypridd Town and 1.4 for Trethomas Bluebirds. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pontypridd Town 59%, draw 22%, Trethomas Bluebirds 19%.
Safer route: Pontypridd Town or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pontypridd Town or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pontypridd Town 2–1 Trethomas Bluebirds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pontypridd Town59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Trethomas Bluebirds19%fair 5.27 · @4.00
3.83Expected goals
2.44Pontypridd Town xG
1.39Trethomas Bluebirds xG
68%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 2.4 – 1.4 Trethomas Bluebirds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our pick is Pontypridd Town or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trethomas Bluebirds 19%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 2–1 Trethomas Bluebirds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Pontypridd Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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