Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Caersws to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaersws to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceCaersws or draw ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Ruthin Town vs Caersws preview and prediction
The match
Ruthin Town host Caersws in the FAW Championship on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Ruthin Town are 14th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Caersws sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ruthin Town's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Brickfield Rangers 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Caersws's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Buckley Town 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Caersws arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for Ruthin Town and 2.1 for Caersws. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ruthin Town 21%, draw 23%, Caersws 56%.
Safer route: Caersws or draw (79%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Caersws to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Caersws or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ruthin Town 1–2 Caersws. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ruthin Town21%fair 4.82 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Caersws56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
3.27Expected goals
1.21Ruthin Town xG
2.06Caersws xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ruthin Town 1.2 – 2.1 Caersws expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caersws to win✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Caersws or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Caersws ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caersws / FT Caersws✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Ruthin Town – last 6
LLDWLL
31 Aug
@ Brickfield Rangers
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Mold Alexandra
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Guilsfield
2–2
D
14 Aug
vs Denbigh Town
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Bala Town
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Holyhead Hotspur
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Caersws – last 6
WWLWDW
31 Aug
vs Buckley Town
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Porthmadog
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Rhyl
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Gresford Athletic
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Mold Alexandra
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Buckley Town
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ruthin Town and Caersws.
What is the prediction for Ruthin Town vs Caersws?
Our pick is Caersws or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Caersws?
On our numbers Ruthin Town have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caersws 56%.
How many goals will there be in Ruthin Town vs Caersws?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ruthin Town vs Caersws?
Our predicted score is Ruthin Town 1–2 Caersws, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ruthin Town vs Caersws?
Ruthin Town vs Caersws (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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