FAW Championship · WalesBaglan Dragons vs Afan Lido prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.5 – 1.3 Afan Lido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Baglan Dragons hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Afan Lido.
Baglan Dragons have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Afan Lido have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Baglan Dragons, 1.3 for Afan Lido). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 64%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Baglan Dragons to win ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Baglan Dragons / FT Baglan Dragons ✓ | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.97 | – |
Form
Baglan Dragons – last 6
| 31 Aug | vs Caerphilly Athletic | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Caerau (Ely) | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Newport City | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Llantwit Major | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Swansea University | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Jul | @ Trethomas Bluebirds | 0–0 | D |
Afan Lido – last 6
| 31 Aug | vs Ynyshir Albions | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Trethomas Bluebirds | 2–5 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Pontardawe Town | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Carmarthen Town | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Llantwit Major | 5–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Aberystwyth Town | 2–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Afan Lido.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pontypridd Town | 13 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 |  Swansea University | 11 | +19 | 24 |
| 4 |  Caerau (Ely) | 13 | +1 | 22 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 13 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ynyshir Albions | 11 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Afan Lido | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Carmarthen Town | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Newport City | 11 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  Cardiff Draconians | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 14 | -31 | 3 |
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Caersws3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Afan Lido 33%.
How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido?
Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.